Human Equivalent Computers
For whatever reason, I remembered something from my dad's old Analog Science Fiction magazine. The author calculated how many "operations" a human brain could run, based on neural activity measurements, in order to determine what size of CPU would be considered a "human equivalent" computer.
Apply a bit of Moore's Law, and zowie! Human equivalent computers, or HECs, were coming within a couple of decades; not too long after, they would be cheap enough to be put into children's toys.
I'm certain I can't find the article in question, so I have to rely on memory here. But I think the "HEC" was defined as something like 1 teraflop, which would match up to 1–4 TOPS (depending on bit sizes) in a modern NPU. On the top end, supercomputers are producing petaflops for HPCG.
If it were only "operations" required to build an HEC, we are definitely there. I'm living in the future!
But if LLMs have shown me anything, it is that we cannot "scale compute" in a generic sense, and produce intelligence as a result. The organization is also important.